According to one reading of a 1993 study published by British medical journal, The Lancet, Hillary Clinton has a 42 per cent chance of dying within two years of contracting the pneumonia which today saw her stumble and lose her balance in New York.
Another study, based on a much larger sample suggests that her chances of dying after a year at between 34.6% and 50.9%; the study reported by the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) in 2003 was based on an examination of the fate of nearly 159,000 pneumonia patients while the Lancet study was based on just 141 patients.
If Clinton wins the US presidential election there is therefore between a one in three and one in two chance she could die in office, if these studies are to be believed. The Democratic candidate for the White House is 68 years old. Pneumonia is sometimes dubbed ‘The Old Man’s Friend’ because it speeds terminally ill and elderly patients to a quick and relatively peaceful and painless end.
The studies examined the medical histories of pneumonia patients who were hospitalised; Hillary Clinton has not yet been sent to hospital although plans for her to travel to California this week have been shelved because of her condition.
Late today, after a ‘medical episode’ at the 911 remembrance ceremony at the site of the twin towers downed by Al Qaeda controlled jets, it was disclosed by her physician that the Democratic candidate had been diagnosed with pneumonia on Friday. This followed weeks of speculation about her health, mostly from the Trump camp, caused by her periodic coughing fits: